
So, the trade deadline has come and gone and I suppose you can argue the Dodgers got a LITTLE better. Unfortunately, they went on to still get their ass kicked for a few days. Now, they’re riding an epic two game winning streak, have been hit with a barrage of injuries, and no one knows what to do. Baseball Prospectus currently puts their odds of making the post-season at 3 percent but a recent poll at MLBTradeRumors.com shows a lot of faith with 30 percent of respondents saying they’re still in the fight. So, what to do?
Do you go into sell mode and unload anyone of value that you don’t think will be around next year anyways? For examples of this, see Manny Ramirez, Russell Martin, Hiroki Kuroda, etc.
Do you pray that no more injuries happen and that those who are hurt already heal fast enough to give you time to make a run at the Wild Card?
Let’s take a dose of realism pills.
The Dodgers are 7 games out on the division lead with three teams to pass to get into first place. They are 6 games out of the Wild Card lead with four teams to pass to get that. Now, they’ve got fifty-four games to go – not a small amount by any stretch of the imagination. They also continue to have the best record in the NL West amongst teams in their own division – so that helps, right?
Well, maybe. After tonight, they have six games to go against the West-leading Padres and six games to go against the Wild Card-leading Giants. But again, here’s our dose of realism. After finishing up with the Pads tonight and playing the woeful Nationals over the weekend, they hit the road for a seven game road trip with the Phillies and the Braves – the two best teams in the East. Then they come home to play the Rockies and the Reds – who if you haven’t noticed are the best team in the Central at the moment. This is not an easy stretch of games to survive – let alone gain ground with.
This is the key stretch. If you can gain ground during this stretch of games, you stand a chance going into September where you play the West almost the entire month.
So, whatever mojo Joe Torre can muster to get them to play better, now’s the time to do it.
And keep an eye on the Padres’ September schedule where they play the Cardinals and Reds the last two weekend of the season. Those could be key if things get close. The Giants’ September schedule looks like a breeze so oddly, they may be in the best position of any team in the West right now.
You’ve gotta love late summer in baseball when things really start to pick up.